A fun fact
Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania have gone to the Democrats in every poll since the 1990s until Trump carried them all in 2016.08:14 PM
A quick round-up on polls
*Biden seems to have lured back the lost Democrats, but the state remained too early to call
*A late burst of votes in Wisconsin has given Biden a lead, but votes still remain to be counted
*In Pennsylvania, however, it seems to be advantage Trump, where he is leading with a comfortable margin08:04 PM
Here’s how the electoral map looks like now
Biden or Trump – Who’s winning? Here are some projections
ABC CBS NBC FOX CNN EDISON AP
- Trump 211 211 213 213 213 213 213
- Biden 224 223 224 238 224 224 238
It seems the day belongs to Biden. The democratic challenger is leading in Michigan too now
Here’s what we know about key states that are still counting ballots
Meanwhile, in news from the senate, democrats are driving toward extending their control of the House for two more years but with a potentially shrunken majority.
There are seven states still left uncalled, including major prizes such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — meaning both Trump and Biden still have a path to victory.
Biden at 238 electoral votes, Trump at 213: US media
Trump and Biden’s fate now hangs on these states:
Biden’s campaign says it will fight any efforts by Trump’s campaign to go to the US Supreme Court to prevent ballots from being tabulated.
What Biden needs to enter the White House?
Biden’s most likely road to victory goes through Nevada and Wisconsin, states where he held narrow leads early Wednesday morning. If Biden wins those states, victories in Georgia, Michigan or Pennsylvania would give him enough to win.05:45 PM
What Trump needs to win the presidential race?
Trump’s most likely road to victory goes through Pennsylvania, a state he carried in 2016. If he wins there, he will have to win three of the other battleground states to secure 270 electoral votes. If he doesn’t win Pennsylvania, he’ll have to sweep the remaining five.05:18 PM
Another nail-biting contest is on in Michigan, where Trump’s comfortable lead over Biden is narrowing significantly.
Biden maintains narrow leads in Nevada and Wisconsin while Trump is still ahead in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan, though tens of thousands of ballots remain to be counted.
It’s still a nail-biting contest in the key states. Here’s how the numbers stack up
Another good news on the way for Biden from Wisconsin, the democratic candidate is now leading
In Nevada, with 85% of estimated votes tallied so far, Trump has 49% and Biden has 49%: Edison Research
Oil rises after Trump falsely claims victory in tight U.S. election
I don’t think people have fully internalized how Democratic these mail and absentee ballots will be in MI/PA/WI. It’s close, but these ballots will be overwhelmingly blue.
Stocks sweat on US election race, safe-haven bonds gain
Share markets were whipsawed, while bonds and the dollar gained on Wednesday as results from the US presidential election proved far closer than polls had predicted, potentially leaving the outcome in doubt for days or weeks. US equity futures went on a wild ride, rising then falling, climbing again as the voting seemed to favour Trump only to sag once more as the president vowed to make a Supreme Court challenge.02:51 PM
The magic number is 270. This is how the numbers stack up so far
Donald Trump (213)
- Alabama (9)
- Arkansas (6)
- Florida (29)
- Idaho (4)
- Indiana (11)
- Iowa (6)
- Kansas (6)
- Kentucky (8)
- Louisiana (8)
- Mississippi (6)
- Missouri (10)
- Montana (3)
- Nebraska (4)*
- North Dakota (3)
- Ohio (18)
- Oklahoma (7)
- South Carolina (9)
- South Dakota (3)
- Tennessee (11)
- Texas (38)
- Utah (6)
- West Virginia (5)
- Wyoming (3)
Joe Biden (238)
- Arizona (11)
- California (55)
- Colorado (9)
- Connecticut (7)
- Delaware (3)
- District of Columbia (3)
- Hawaii (4)
- Illinois (20)
- Maine (3)**
- Maryland (10)
- Massachusetts (11)
- Minnesota (10)
- Nebraska (1)*
- New Hampshire (4)
- New Jersey (14)
- New Mexico (5)
- New York (29)
- Oregon (7)
- Rhode Island (4)
- Vermont (3)
- Virginia (13)
- Washington (12)
States Not Yet Called
- North Carolina
Things just went from “Make inferences about Michigan/Wisconsin/Pennsylvania based on results from other states” to “It’s close enough to the end to actually try to count the votes there.”
A Democratic bid to win control of the US Senate appeared to fall short, with the party candidates picking up only one Republican-held seat while six other races remained undecided early on Wednesday. 35 of the Senate’s 100 seats were up for election.
Filmmaker Mira Nair’s son Zohran Mamdani wins New York state assembly
Biden campaign manager calls Trump speech “outrageous, unprecedented, and incorrect”
All 4 Democratic Indian-American lawmakers re-elected to US House of Representatives even as Trump, Biden remain locked in a tight race to the White House.
Longtime Republican election lawyer Benjamin L. Ginsberg: “Let all the votes be counted”
Even if Joe Biden wins, the word ‘loser’ does not seem to be in Trump’s vocabulary. Will he concede?
In Pennsylvania, a legal battle is escalating. Republicans filed a number of lawsuits on Tuesday, with two cases scheduled to be heard on Wednesday.
Battleground bulletin: Race gets narrower in remaining swing states
The Wisconsin math: Trump leads by 119,000 votes there currently. But there are reported 211,000 absentee ballots yet to be counted in Milwaukee County, which are likely to be very blue. If Biden won them 3:1, it would make the state very close.
It has become clear that most Americans will go to bed without knowing who won the presidency. Counting in crucial states including Pennsylvania and Michigan may take days to complete.
California voters back Uber in referendum on driver status
There are many more paths to 270 for Joe Biden, than Donald Trump
Biden wins three of four seats in Maine. The last is projected to go to Trump.
Cindy McCain’s support for Biden may have helped him score the historic Arizona win. The widow of Republican senator John McCain showed her support to Biden after Trump slammed war veterans.
Arizona becomes first state to flip in the 2020 election, Joe Biden wins state’s 11 electoral votes
Before Trump’s false claims, his campaign was already fund-raising off the uncertain outcome. A 12:03 a.m. plea asked for money to help “protect the integrity of this Election.”
Biden is ahead by 5 points in Nevada now. That’s probably enough; it did loom as a potential complication for him after results in heavily Latino parts of Florida/Texas.
It all comes down to three states now: North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona
No 2016 state has flipped so far. Joe Biden should be very worried about that.
Trump alleges fraud, says he is ready to go to Supreme Court. Can he really stop America from counting votes just because he wants a second term?
We will go to Supreme Court to stop illegal counting of votes after tonight
– Trump12:59 PM
We’ve already won this election
– Donald Trump12:58 PM
They knew they couldn’t win and said let’s go to court. I had predicted this a long time ago: Trump
We’re 690,000 votes up in Pennsylvania. It’s impossible to compete with us: Donald Trump.
We don’t even need Arizona to win the race. It’s a small amount of votes: Donald Trump
They ain’t gonna catch us, they’re never gonna catch us.
– Trump12:54 PM
Counting his eggs before they hatch? Trump addresses media, says he’s won and that the Dems are disenfranchising voters
We didn’t just win Florida. We won it by a lot.
– Trump12:52 PM
I want to thank the American people for their support. Millions and millions of people have voted for us.
– Donald Trump12:51 PM
Fox News is facing heat from the Trump campaign for projecting Arizona for Joe Biden, as other news networks sought more evidence before making a call.
The Blue Wall decided for Obama, and then for Trump. Can it seal Biden’s place in the West Wing this time around?
ye2024? After voting for himself, the rapper-producer turned mail-in ballot candidate tweeted saying he’d be back for the next election
WELP KANYE 2024 �� https://t.co/tJOZcxdArb— ye (@kanyewest) 1604466737000
Could the polls be wrong again? According to Trump cheerleader Tucker Carlson, they could be because people aren’t vocal about supporting Trump
Pennsylvania won’t finish counting absentee ballots until Friday at the earliest
If Pennsylvania goes to Trump, it could very well be over for Joe Biden.
Looks like Joe Biden’s Blue Wave never took hold
Biden has won a single Electoral College vote in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.
Biden leads by 4.6 points in Nevada, not an entirely comfortable margin — although a lot of the rural vote is in, so Trump will have to close very strongly with Election Day votes in Las Vegas’s Clark County and Reno’s Washoe County.
Dictator’s Donald? Experts feel like a neck and neck race, and a possible Trump victory, will only boost the President’s support of dictators across the globe
Donald Trump v Joe Biden: Will this be 2000 again or 2016?
After six years of Republican rule, the Senate could very well flip. But the party in power is not giving up without a fight.
The election could be swinging Trump’s way after the numbers start looking eerily like they did in 2016
Trump keeps claiming voter fraud. The reality? 0.0006% votes have been flagged as fraudulent in the last twenty years.
Donald Trump is expected to address the nation soon. For a change, it won’t be through Twitter.
With Texas, the whole election has been thrown into chaos, and legal cases will surely follow. Both candidates are confident they’re winning.
Electoral College tally as of 1:13 pm EST (11:43 am IST)
Biden hits out at Trump
Electoral College tally as of 12:42pm EST (11:12am IST)
Texas goes to Donald Trump. 11 electoral votes now separate Biden and Trump
Biden’s team is preparing to wait for votes to be counted in three Northern battlegrounds that Trump carried in 2016 — Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — where it still feels bullish.
The most encouraging sign on the map for Biden is in Arizona, where he is leading in a state that Trump won in 2016.
Trump towers in swing states
Democrats have won the House. First step to win full control of Congress next year
Trump seems confident about stealing the election
Biden lays down the marker: “We’re going to win Pennsylvania,” the state of his birth, where he just spent three days campaigning.
We might know the results as early as tomorrow morning, but it’s not on me or on Trump to call this race, that’s on the American people: Biden
Keep the faith guys. We’re going to win this.
– Biden11:13 AM
It ain’t over till every vote, every ballot is counted. We’re feeling good about where we are.
– Joe Biden11:13 AM
We’re on track to win the election.
– Joe Biden11:12 AM
Lead between Donald Trump and Joe Biden narrows. America, maybe you should have just stuck to Kanye West
It’s starting to look a lot like 2016. Massive win for Donald Trump with Florida (29 electoral votes)
Donald Trump wins Iowa – another battleground state
Donald Trump wins Montana, Minnesota goes to Joe Biden
Donald Trump’s fate hinges on swing states in a nail-biting fight
Ohio called for Donald Trump
Atlanta won’t finish its count tonight.
Both President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are each inching toward 270 electoral votes in what looks to be an increasingly tight race. What happens if it’s a tie?
If each candidate wins 269 electoral votes, the election outcome would be decided by the House of Representatives, where each state delegation would be able to cast one vote. The candidate would need to win a majority of states, so 26 or more.10:33 AM
Georgia could end up deciding Senate dynamics, with results expected to take from anywhere between a few weeks to a month
It’s no longer Election Day on the east coast. Trump is leading in Florida, North Carolina and Ohio. Too early to call Pennsylvania and Arizona
Biden is desperately eyeing the so-called “blue wall” states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania that sent Trump to the White House in 2016.
Will Donald Trump’s loss in this year’s election be a win for the fourth estate?
Joe Biden takes over lead in popular vote: 50-48%
Let’s talk about Pennsylvania. With 50% votes reported, Trump’s lead widens by 500,000 votes in the battleground
Another Bush v. Gore? Possibly, but this time the litigation is being filed way sooner, much before ballots close
Equity benchmark Sensex surges over 180 points in early trade, tracking gains in IT stocks and ahead of the outcome of the US presidential elections
Utah called for Republican Party, giving Donald Trump 6 more electoral votes
Can Biden become only the second Democrat to flip Arizona since 1948?
There’s a battle on for US Senate too where Democrats need 2 more seats for majority
Democrat Jay Inslee wins reelection for governor in Washington
Historical swing state New Hampshire called for Biden
President aside, there’s a battle on for the Senate too, with the Dems still needing at least two more seats to establish a majority
The Dems are sweating, as the race gets closer by the minute, with almost all of the swing states still in play
With the Taliban peace agreement in the works, any change in American policy could end up trigerring a resurgence in Afghanistan and possibly see the return of US troops.
Kanye West is getting thousands of votes in many states. Kanye currently defeating many 3rd party candidates in different states. Come on, America?!
Kanye is a write-in candidate since he’s not on ballots as a presidential candidate.09:13 AM
Trends show Joe Biden is losing black voters in battleground Florida
So far, Biden has won 13 states and Trump 16. But, Biden’s national tally is higher with 131 electoral votes compared to Trump’s 108.
Indian-American Congressman Raja Krishnamoorthi retains 8th Congressional district of Illinois
Donald Trump wins Missouri
The early exit polls of Arizona show voters over 65 prefer Biden by 5 percentage points. In other words, this is not the Arizona full of conservative retirees anymore.
With most votes counted in Ohio’s heavily suburban Delaware County, Trump has a five-point lead there. Trump carried this county by 16 points in 2016.
Texas turns Red again. Biden had early lead in the southern state but Trump is now ahead with over 3 points. At 38, the state has the second largest share of electoral votes after California (55).
Philadelphia officials say they will not be reporting any more mail ballot results tonight. About 76,000 have been tallied so far — out of 350,000-some received. And remember, Biden supporters are disproportionately voting by mail.
Battleground bulletin: Donald Trump is leading in the 6 swing states
Arizona results coming in, hugely in favour of the Democrats as Biden leads in Maricopa County, which accounts for 60% of the state’s voters.
If Biden takes Texas, it’s going to be a political earthquake. It’s been Republican for the past 44 years.
The polls just closed in Iowa, Montana, Nevada, Utah and part of Idaho.
Trump bags Kansas’ 6 electoral votes. In 2016, Trump had cruised to victory in this Republican bastion with 56% votes.
Pennsylvania: 25,000 votes separating the 2 candidates so far, with Trump marginally in the lead.
Texas: Trump leading by 200,000 out of 8 million votes counted.
Trump’s gap widening in Ohio. Biden winning by130,000 out of 4.4 million votes counted so far.
Two things led to Trump’s decline in popularity this year – coronavirus and science. Can he undo that damage?
The latest national electoral tally
Hickenlooper beats Gardner, gives Senate Democrats pickup in Colorado.
John Hickenlooper becomes the first Democrat to flip a Senate seat tonight.08:25 AM
North Carolina may be “the most competitive state” in US politics right now
Electoral College tally, as of 9:33 pm EST (8:03 am IST)
Progressive Democrats, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar, have both won re-election in their Congressional districts
At the White House right now, a few hundred guests are gathered. The screens are tuned to…wait for it…Fox News. Surprise, surprise.
China is hoping for a new President, expecting Biden to reset ties and undo three years worth of trade wars.
Why are people so reluctant to call Florida for a candidate? The answer lies in 537
After an intense recount process and the United States Supreme Court’s decision in Bush v. Gore, Bush won Florida’s electoral votes by a margin of only 537 votes out of almost six million cast and as a result became the president-elect in 2000.08:12 AM
One thing is clear: Biden 2020 cannot afford to make the same mistakes Obama 2008 made. Voters now are much more aware, vocal…and very much in debt!
Joe Biden has one advantage Hillary Clinton didn’t have in 2016. He isn’t on Republicans’ hate-list. Will it be enough?
Colorado and District of Columbia called for Biden
Biden holds edge over Trump in national tally, has 122 electoral votes to Trump’s 92
Biden’s lead shrinks in Ohio, where Trump now leads among in-person votes, countering Biden’s absentee advantage.
Nevada Supreme Court denies Trump campaign request to immediately block early vote counting in Clark County
Young voters in Midwest are swinging toward Biden, early exit polls show
Marjorie Taylor Greene, a Republican who expressed racist views and support for QAnon, has won a Georgia US House seat
Sarah McBride of Delaware becomes first transgender state senator in U.S. history.
Trump expected to address the nation tonight, Kellyanne Conway says
Former Counselor to the President, Kellyanne Conway says Trump may lose ground in Electoral College from 2016
Polls are closing in Arizona, but we’ll have to wait an hour for results. Early and mail ballots, likely to be relatively stronger for Democrats, will be reported first.
Biden won New York. Is that a surprise? No. But in August, Trump told The New York Post he was “putting New York in play.” He said he would campaign there. He did not.
“As Ohio goes, so goes the nation.” No president has ever won presidency without winning the buckeye state
Biden outperforming Clinton in Ohio, Trump dragging – he won Ohio by 8% last time. 2/3 of the votes counted.07:41 AM
Joe Biden wins New York, another traditional Democratic stronghold with 29 electoral votes
This is where each candidate has the lead as of 9 p.m (ET). Based on the votes counted so far, this is where each candidate currently has the lead.
- North Carolina
- New Hampshire
It’s still early and these numbers could change as more votes are counted.
Polls are closing in Wisconsin. The governor has said he expects to know the results tonight or tomorrow. Milwaukee could still be counting ballots until Wednesday morning.
As polls prepares to close in Florida, reports say some supporters have received messages from the Trump camp already assuming victory in the state.
Trump has 51% of the popular vote till now. However, Biden has more electoral votes
Latest Electoral College tally
Ohio is one of the states to watch out for. Fivethirtyeight predicted the state to have one of the closest battles. But it’s really hard to tell what’s going on there right now. Biden is leading 54 percent to 45 percent, but most of what’s reported are absentee votes.
As swing states begin counting, Trump leads in Michigan, Georgia, Florida. Biden in North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, New Hampshire
Registered Democrats cast over one million more early votes than Republicans.
Last time around, President Trump won the state only by 3% but this could change with a rising Hispanic population in the state.
7.3 million people have cast their ballots in North Carolina, compared to the 8 million expectation.
Good signs for Biden. North Carolina counts the mail-in ballots first, and then the in-person voting. Biden supporters have sent in more mail-in ballots, so the race is far from over.
Most polls are closed in Florida and Georgia, two important battleground states.
Biden and Trump carry the early states they need as attention centers on Florida, Georgia and North Carolina.
So far Biden is outperforming Clinton’s numbers in Houston & Dallas. If he is to win the state, he probably needs to exceed 2016 by more than he is doing right now.
The New York Times currently gives Donald Trump a 95% chance of winning Florida. Florida is a must-win state for Trump
Burst pipe delays Atlanta absentee vote counting
Georgia’s Cobb County has counted about a third of its votes so far — if Biden’s lead comes close to holding, it will cement the suburban shift away from Republicans.
Polls closed in Pennsylvania
Biden was expected to improve Hillary Clinton’s 2016 numbers vastly, but he is barely holding on to the lead, early polls show.
Trump wins Arkansas
Another 6 electoral votes in Trump’s kitty. The state has been electing Republican candidates since 200007:02 AM
Tom Cotton, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. Senate in Arkansas.
The key question in 2016: Why did the working class vote for billionaire Trump? Can the Democratic party shed it’s 2016 image as a party of snobs?
Biden is doing much better in Florida than Hillary Clinton did in 2016
Tokyo’s Nikkei opens more than 2% up as US votes
The early exit polling data from Georgia suggests that Trump managed to bring around 10 percent of Black voters into his column.
On Election Day, swing states – Pennsylvania, Ohio and Minnesota – set records for the most new coronavirus cases they’ve reported in a single day.
It’s still neck-and-neck in Florida, where Trump is leading by 2 points now. The state carries 29 votes and is crucial for both candidates
Biden has a lead over Trump in Ohio’s Delaware County, a traditionally G.O.P. stronghold. Democrats won Delaware last in 1916.
Texas hasn’t supported a Democratic candidate in four decades
The turnout at an Orlando precinct 538 stood at 105 per cent, shortly before the polls closed at 7 pm EST with 795 ballots cast, every registered voter at the precinct cast a ballot in the election.
Joe Biden wins New Jersey, clinches 14 electoral votes
Till now, the results have been in line with expectations and winning history of the states. Biden wins blue states, Trump red.
Officials in Pennsylvania and Michigan say that counting mail ballots — and therefore most results — could take until Nov. 6.
Despite Democratic donors spending more than $100 million opposing him, McConnell wins re-election in U.S. Senate in Kentucky.
Voters across America get fraud calls to stay away from polls on Election Day saying “Stay safe, stay home.”
Trump wins 9 electoral votes from South Carolina, a state he carried comfortably in 2016 as well
Oklahoma, Mississippi, Tennessee, Alabama (Trump)
Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Rhode Island (Biden)
Since Labor Day, the Biden campaign has spent $78 million on ads in Florida, and a Bloomberg-aligned super PAC spent another $36 million.
Associated Press calls South Carolina for Donald Trump. Electoral count: 22-16 Trump
Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas polls set to close; Trump wins West Virginia, Biden wins Virginia
Trump is doing way better than 2016 in Hispanic and Cuban areas, and better in Black areas. Biden is doing better in older, white areas, but not by as much.
Can Trump break the Blue Wall?
In the past four years, political observers have often talked about three states — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — in a single breath. They were the three so-called Blue Wall states that had traditionally backed Democratic presidential candidates but put Trump over the top in 2016. But now, polls — and FiveThirtyEight’s final forecast — suggest that Trump’s chances may be better in Pennsylvania than in Wisconsin or Michigan.06:16 AM
AP update: In the road to 270, Biden leads Trump, 16-13
Confused about which states to track? Here are the ones that matter most
Electoral votes: 29
- Polls have closed, except in several counties in northwestern Florida that close at 7 p.m. CST.
- Rating in presidential contest: Toss-up
- Other key races: Competitive U.S. House of Representative races in the 15th and 26th Districts
- Vote counting: Florida has no-excuse absentee voting. Election officials can begin scanning ballots more than three weeks before Election Day, but results cannot be generated until after polls are closed. All ballots must be received by the close of polls on Election Day to be counted. Ballots flagged for signature errors can be corrected, however, until 5 p.m. on Thursday.
Electoral votes: 16
- Polls have closed, except for Spalding County, where all precincts remain open until 9 p.m. EST, and several other counties where individual polling location hours have been extended up to 7:45 p.m. EST. Judges ordered the extensions after polling places in the counties opened late on Tuesday morning.
- Rating in presidential contest: Toss-up
- Other key races: Both U.S. Senate seats are up for grabs and considered competitive.
- Vote counting: Georgia has no-excuse absentee voting. Ballots must be received by clerks by the close of polls on Election Day. Ballots can be opened and scanned on receipt, but they cannot be tallied until after the polls close on Tuesday.
Electoral votes: 15
- Polls close: 7:30 p.m. EST, except in 10 precincts where the state board of elections extended voting until as late as 8:15 p.m. EST after the polling sites experienced interruptions in voting.
- Rating in presidential contest: Toss-up
- Other key races: Competitive governor and U.S. Senate contests
Joe Biden is leading in Georgia, another key battleground state, by four points. Georgia has 16 electoral votes. Trump won here in 2016
Associated Press calls Virginia for Joe Biden
The polls just closed in Ohio and West Virginia. Most polls are now closed in North Carolina, too, but a handful of precincts will be open longer because of delays.
Spalding County, which Trump won in ’16, will keep polls open an extra two hours due to an equipment malfunction today.
Donald Trump wins West Virginia
Trump opens as a clear favorite in Florida, after the Miami-Dade early vote.
Is Donald Trump already preparing for another four years in the White House?
AP update: In the road to 270, Donald Trump has 8, 3 for Joe Biden
Mark Warner, Democrat of Virginia, is the first called Senate winner of the night, a stark contrast from 2014 when he won by just under 18,000 votes.
The Trump campaign and Nevada Republicans are asking a state court judge to extend voting by one hour at 22 Las Vegas-area locations, citing reports that those sites did not open on time.
Don’t be alarmed! Early trends in many states may show Trump in early polls, but pollsters expect Democrats to have already voted through mail-in ballots.
Ohio: Voters rank coronavirus as their top concern. On Tuesday, the state reported its highest number of virus cases since the pandemic began.
Only 65% of voters are white in this preliminary estimate; in 2016, 73% were, according to the census.
Donald Trump wins Kentucky.
Race called by The Associated Press.05:40 AM
Early trends show Donald Trump leading in Indiana, New Hampshire
It’s dangerous to read too much from the first votes in Kentucky and Indiana, but the fall-off in third-party voting at the presidential level is notable.05:36 AM
Control of the House: Democrats look to expand their majority as Republicans brace for a potential blue wave.
Battle for the Senate: Republicans fight to maintain their majority in a tough environment.
The vast majority of voters in this year’s election made up their mind well ahead of Election Day.
The earliest data shows that only 4 percent of voters said they opted for a presidential candidate over the past week, compared with 93 percent who decided earlier.
Those numbers would appear to track with pre-election polling, which has shown a stable race between President Trump and former Vice President Biden for months.
Biggest Election in modern history? With 101 million votes cast early, the U.S. heads toward its highest turnout in over a century.
Fox survey finds 63 percent say country heading in wrong direction
Nearly two-thirds of voters surveyed by Fox in early exit polls said the country going in the wrong direction, with the staggering national economy weighing heavily in their decisions.05:17 AM
Counting begins, but there will be major differences among battleground states in how that plays out, and potential legal challenges — from Trump — are likely to complicate the process.
Social media crackdown: Twitter, Facebook suspend some accounts as U.S. election misinformation spreads
False or exaggerated reports about voting fraud and delays at the polls are circulating on social media throughout the day, in some cases helped along by Republican accounts.
Is America preparing for an apocalypse? Cities fear post-poll unrest, businesses board up windows expecting protests
- North Carolina, an armed man loitering at a polling site on Election Day has been arrested and charged with trespassing.
- Thirty-six-year-old Justin Dunn was legally carrying a firearm but loitered at the Charlotte site after voting Tuesday morning, which prompted a precinct official to call police over fears of voter intimidation. A precinct official accompanied by a police officer asked him to leave the site and banned him from the location.
- Police say Dunn left the precinct but returned about two hours later. He was taken into custody and charged with second-degree trespassing.
The first polls have closed in parts of Kentucky and Indiana.
The first polls are closing, with at least six states reporting turnout higher than four years ago.04:45 AM
ICYMI, Trump has really been going after suburban women. “Will you please like me?” – the one phrase that will probably forever be remembered as his desperate plea.
A hoarse Trump predicted Tuesday morning that he will outperform his 2016 electoral vote count. And Joe Biden’s deputy campaign chief confidently stated they have “a lot of pathways” to the magic 270 number.
The president, still has a number of paths to victory, especially if the margins in some states are small enough for the Supreme Court to get involved.
Of the states Clinton won in 2016, Minnesota is viewed as the most likely to flip to Trump, but it’s still a long shot.04:36 AM
Biden could win the presidency without flipping those key states back into the Democrats’ hands, but the math would be tougher for him.
He is polling competitively in Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, and even Georgia — all states Trump won four years ago.04:35 AM
Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in 2016 — despite losing the popular vote — by flipping three key states: Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. This year, Biden leads in polls in all three.
The global markets, going into the biggest election of the year
- The S&P 500 rose 1.8% on Tuesday.
- Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 0.8% in Singapore.
- Hang Seng futures dropped 0.8%.
- Futures on Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index gained 0.1%.
- The yen was at 104.52 per dollar.
- The offshore yuan traded at 6.6740 per dollar.
- The euro bought $1.1716.
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose five basis points to 0.89%.
- West Texas Intermediate crude gained 3.5% to $38.11 a barrel.
- Gold was at $1,907.73 an ounce.
You know how important this year’s election is just by the sheer turnout. More than 100 million Americans, or more than 55% of the 2016 electorate, have already voted.
The math that will make sure Joe Biden wins his shot at the White House: Bag the 2016 blue states, and flip to from Trump.
- Joe Biden has to win all states bagged by Hillary Clinton in 2016 and flip at least two big states from Donald Trump
- Trump has to win Florida, North Carolina, Arizona and bag either Michigan or Pennsylvania
- Pennsylvania is key: Trump can win the Electoral College if he loses Wisconsin, Michigan but wins Pennsylvania
Tracking the election from India? The first battleground results will close polls at 4.30 am. Expect the first results to trickle in around 5.30am
- Indiana, Kentucky: 4:30 am IST
- Florida, Georgia, Virginia: 5:30 am IST
- Texas, Michigan, Pennsylvania: 6:30 am IST
- Media networks will release exit polls and start calling the states for one candidate or the other depending upon the returns
- If it is a tight race in Pennsylvania, expect some delay due to a recent court decision
- If Arizona, Nevada or Wisconsin decides the election, expect some delay as polls here close at 7:30-8:30 am IST
- A trend in favour of one candidate or the other should be clear by the time Indian markets open
“There’s just so much in play right now … We’ll see. If there’s something to talk about tonight, I’ll talk about it. If not, I’ll wait ‘til the votes are counted the next day.”
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden wouldn’t commit to a plan if election results aren’t made clear by the end of Tuesday night, telling reporters in Wilmington, Delaware, that he’ll say something when he’s ready.03:38 AM
Coronavirus has been front and center this election, but voters also decide the fate of health care, the economy and racial disparities in the country.
What’s at stake today, you ask? Well, Americans are casting ballots not just for the next leader of the free world, but also the control of the US Senate.
The Granite State isn’t the only place segregating voters by mask status. While at least 33 states are requiring masks to vote in a polling place, voters without masks are not being turned away.
Some states are trying out curbside voting, and others are segregating areas for the masked and the unmasked. Separate outdoor booths for the unmasked are just one way of compromising between public safety and a desire to make sure everyone gets a chance to cast a vote.03:30 AM
Beware! Trump could misleadingly declare victory tonight, even if the final vote count is uncertain and there is no clear winner.
“I am at a point now that I am done talking about the guy in the White House. We need to do that. Let’s talk about the opportunity that is in front of us which is to elect Joe Biden,” Harris said in Michigan.
Luxury stores and small businesses have shut across New York City, bracing for possible unrest and violence in a bitter and divisive race to the White House.
Long before the rest of the country woke on Election Day, these towns stuck to their tradition of casting votes right at midnight.
The results in Dixville Notch, near the Canadian border, were a sweep for former Vice President Joe Biden who won the town’s five votes. In Millsfield, 12 miles (20 kilometers) to the south, President Donald Trump won 16 votes to Biden’s five.03:08 AM
Both campaigns have dispatching armies of lawyers for what could become a state-by-state, county-by-county legal battle over which ballots will ultimately be counted.
According to NYT, the polls put Donald Trump in a far bigger predicament than the one he faced heading into Election Day in 2016.
The national polls have consistently shown Biden ahead, and ahead of Election Day, they show a decisive Biden win. But don’t celebrate just yet! Remember 2016?
Four years ago, the national polls showed Clinton with a lead of around 4 percentage points, quite close to her eventual 2.1-point margin in the national vote. This year, the national polls show Biden up by 8.5 percentage points, according to our average. The higher-quality national surveys generally show him ahead by even more.